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«United Russia» may win about 355 seats in the State Duma of the ninth convocation

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According to preliminary election results, “United Russia” will receive about 355 of the 450 seats in the State Duma of the ninth convocation, which will become the party’s largest faction in its entire history. The final result may range from 348 to 356 mandates.

After processing 95.18% of the protocols for the federal lists, “United Russia” is receiving 57.83% of the vote. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation receives 13.81%, the LDPR — 8.98%, “New People” — 7.96%; these four parties are overcoming the five-percent threshold, while “A Just Russia” with 4.96% is still below it, although CEC head Ella Pamfilova said it has a strong chance of entering the State Duma.

Candidates from “United Russia” are leading in 209 of the 225 single-mandate districts. According to preliminary results, the Communist Party receives five mandates, “A Just Russia” and self-nominated candidates — four each, the LDPR — two, “Rodina” — one.

The final distribution of list seats depends on the result of “A Just Russia”. If the party does not overcome the threshold, “United Russia” may receive 147 of the 225 list mandates, the Communist Party — 35, the LDPR — 23, “New People” — 20. If “A Just Russia” does make it through, it will have about 12 seats, while “United Russia” will have 139 list mandates.

Voter turnout in the election was almost 57%, and the CEC plans to announce the final results no earlier than September 25 in order to consider possible complaints. The election took place amid criticism over the lack of full political competition: the federal list of “Yabloko”, the only registered party that openly opposed the war, was removed from the election by the Supreme Court.

Russia also did not invite OSCE observers. The President of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly, Pere Joan Pons, called the absence of independent international observation a violation of Russia’s obligations and part of a “worrying trend” of abandoning transparency and democratic accountability.

During the vote, “Yabloko” and the Communist Party reported that observers were denied access and removed from polling stations, sealed ballot boxes were opened, there were problems issuing paper ballots, and it was impossible to verify separate turnout data. By the evening of September 20, the “Elections 2026 — observing together!” platform had counted more than 900 complaints to election commissions, about a third of them concerning observers’ rights, while Russia’s Prosecutor General’s Office and the Interior Ministry said no serious violations capable of affecting the conduct of the election had been recorded.

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